Matej Dodig v Andrea Pellegrino
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanM. Dodig is 8-2 over the last ten and 26-11 on clay this season. A. Pellegrino is 4-6 over the last ten and 26-16 on clay this season.
The pick is M. Dodig to win. We make it a 56% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.78 or bigger. At 1.69 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Dodig | A. Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| 171 | Ranking | 155 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LLWWW | Last 5 | LWLLW |
| - | V the odds | - |
| 31-20 | Season | 30-22 |
| 26-11 | Clay 2026 | 26-16 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 16d | Days rest | 26d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 26d out |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Dodig — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | A. Pellegrino | 0 - 0 | 1.69 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-12 | Genova | Clay | T. Seyboth Wild | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Genova | Clay | E. Dalla Valle | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Genova | Clay | H. Dellien | 0 - 0 RET | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | F. Agamenone | 0 - 1 RET | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | Como | Clay | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | Como | Clay | J. Nikles | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-04 | Como | Clay | M. Schoenhaus | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | Como | Clay | H. Bernet | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
A. Pellegrino — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Braga | Clay | M. Dodig | 0 - 0 | 2.19 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | Genova | Clay | V. Aboian | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | M. Petkovic | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | C. Smith | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | Z. Bergs | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | N. Basavareddy | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-30 | San Marino | Clay | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-28 | San Marino | Clay | C. A. Caniato | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-19 | Estoril | Clay | G. Bueno | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-18 | Estoril | Clay | J. D. Silva | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Matej Dodig or Andrea Pellegrino?
Matej Dodig is favourite at 1.69, which is a 56% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino?
Matej Dodig is 1.69 and Andrea Pellegrino is 2.19, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.
Who will win Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino?
Our model makes it Matej Dodig to win at 1.69 (Lean confidence).