Marvin Moeller v Tiago Torres
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanM. Moeller is 6-4 over the last ten and 32-16 on clay this season. T. Torres is 4-6 over the last ten and 6-7 on clay this season. M. Moeller took a medical timeout on 2026-09-22.
The pick is M. Moeller to win. We make it a 59% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.69 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Moeller | T. Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| 259 | Ranking | 534 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LWWWL | Last 5 | LLWLL |
| +0.5 | V the odds | - |
| 48-23 | Season | 34-19 |
| 32-16 | Clay 2026 | 6-7 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 9d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| MTO | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Moeller — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | L. Mikrut | 1 - 2 | 3.08 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | D. Blanch | 2 - 1 | 1.80 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Arnaboldi | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | S. Travaglia | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Szczecin | Clay | M. Cecchinato | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Szczecin | Clay | D. Michalski | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Tulln | Clay | M. Soto | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Tulln | Clay | M. Mrva | 0 - 0 RET | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | Augsburg | Clay | C. Cretu | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Augsburg | Clay | M. Soto | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
T. Torres — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | J. Kym | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-17 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | T. Cacao | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | M25 Sintra 2 | Hard | J. Anthrop | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Istanbul | Clay | M. Alkaya | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | Porto 2 | Clay | M. Petkovic | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-24 | Estoril | Clay | H. Gaston | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-22 | Estoril | Clay | A. Tabilo | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-20 | Estoril | Clay | N. Basilashvili | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-04 | M25 Figueira da Foz | Hard | P. Schoen | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-03 | M25 Figueira da Foz | Hard | D. Ostapenkov | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Marvin Moeller or Tiago Torres?
Marvin Moeller is favourite at 1.58, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Marvin Moeller vs Tiago Torres?
Marvin Moeller is 1.58 and Tiago Torres is 2.44, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.
Who will win Marvin Moeller vs Tiago Torres?
Our model makes it Marvin Moeller to win at 1.57 (Lean confidence).