Manuel Cerundolo Juan v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONA. Davidovich Fokina is 8-2 over the last ten and 16-9 on hard this season. J. M. Cerundolo is 6-4 over the last ten and 15-8 on hard this season. The head to head is J. M. Cerundolo 0-2.
The pick is A. Davidovich Fokina to win. We make it a 56% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.78 or bigger. At 1.67 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. M. Cerundolo | A. Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Ranking | 14 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| WLLWW | Last 5 | LWLWW |
| +1.5 | V the odds | +1.5 |
| 33-21 | Season | 23-15 |
| 15-8 | Hard 2026 | 16-9 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 3d | Days rest | 72d |
| 1 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 72d out |
| Head to head 0-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Recent form
Last five completed matches, most recent first.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | J. M. CerundolovA. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 |
| 2026-06-29 | Wimbledon | A. Davidovich FokinavJ. M. Cerundolo | 3 - 0 |
| 2023-08-31 | ATP US Open | J. M. CerundolovA. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 3 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. M. Cerundolo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | 2.31 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | Y. Zhou | 2 - 0 | 1.49 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | A. Gea | 2 - 3 | 2.16 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | I. Buse | 1 - 2 | 1.77 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | S. Baez | 1 - 0 RET | 2.31 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | D. Suresh | 2 - 0 | 1.42 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 0 - 2 | 5.08 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Rinderknech | 1 - 2 | 2.55 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | M. Lajal | 0 - 2 | 1.97 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 | 3.25 | 70% | LOST |
A. Davidovich Fokina — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | J. M. Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | 1.67 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-07-16 | Umag | clay | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | 1.73 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-07-15 | Umag | clay | M. Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | 1.38 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-07-05 | Wimbledon | Grass | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3 - 2 | 2.46 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | M. Fucsovics | 3 - 0 | 1.28 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | F. Marozsan | 3 - 0 | 1.51 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-06-29 | Wimbledon | Grass | J. M. Cerundolo | 3 - 0 | 1.22 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-06-27 | Mallorca | Hard | E. Quinn | 0 - 2 | 1.62 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-06-26 | Mallorca | Hard | F. Marozsan | 1 - 2 | 1.41 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-06-25 | Mallorca | Hard | G. Dimitrov | 0 - 2 | 1.58 | 62% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Manuel Cerundolo Juan or Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is favourite at 1.67, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Manuel Cerundolo Juan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Manuel Cerundolo Juan is 2.31 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 1.67, the prices we recorded for the Chengdu match.
What is the head-to-head between Manuel Cerundolo Juan and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
They have met 3 times and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 3-0.
Who will win Manuel Cerundolo Juan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Our model makes it Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win at 1.67 (Lean confidence).