THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ChallengerHardWuning 3 (China) - Qualification2026-10-10 05:00

Keisuke Saitoh v Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
J. D. Hara Friend to win1.21
Price too short today - wait for 1.24 or bigger · our chance 81% · market 20/80, us 19/81

J. D. Hara Friend is 8-2 over the last ten and 26-14 on hard this season. K. Saitoh is 9-1 over the last ten and 38-18 on hard this season. K. Saitoh has played 5 matches in seven days.

The pick is J. D. Hara Friend to win. We make it a 81% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.24 or bigger. At 1.21 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

K. SaitohJ. D. Hara Friend
550Ranking254
9-1Last 108-2
WWWWWLast 5WWWLW
+2.3V the odds+1.6
38-18Season30-15
38-18Hard 202626-14
5Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
5Wins here3
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

K. Saitoh4.8720%
J. D. Hara FriendFAV1.2180%
Market says80% Friend

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

K. Saitoh0
J. D. Hara Friend1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-10Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationK. SaitohvJ. D. Hara Friend0 - 2

This season & this event

K. Saitoh
J. D. Hara Friend
38-19
38-19
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
31-16
27-15
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Keisuke Saitoh
Japan
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Japan
550
25
Japan
35–18
2
35–18
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
254
22
Japan
27–15
0
27–15
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

K. Saitoh — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-10Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardJ. D. Hara Friend0 - 24.8780%LOST
2026-10-09Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardA. Santillan2 - 12.3960%WON
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardH. Moriya0 - 21.8851%WON
2026-10-06Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardD. Palan2 - 01.6057%WON
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardY. Takahashi2 - 11.5960%WON
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardZ. Wang2 - 01.0391%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardM. Bellucci2 - 07.8088%LOST
2026-09-28JingshanHardK. Matsuda2 - 0——WON
2026-09-13M25 SapporoHardJ. Roddick1 - 21.5661%WON
2026-09-12M25 SapporoHardS. C. Hong2 - 1——WON

J. D. Hara Friend — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardA. Kachmazov1 - 21.6658%LOST
2026-10-10Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardK. Saitoh0 - 21.2180%WON
2026-10-09Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardR. Seggerman2 - 01.5363%WON
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardW. K. Leong M.2 - 01.3571%WON
2026-10-06Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardY. Kikuchi2 - 01.0788%WON
2026-09-13IstanbulClayM. Basing1 - 21.7157%LOST
2026-09-12IstanbulClayM. Kasnikowski0 - 21.9751%WON
2026-09-11IstanbulClayY. Erel1 - 21.7456%WON
2026-09-09IstanbulClayS. Hamza Reguig0 - 21.1086%WON
2026-09-08IstanbulClayM. Ribecai2 - 11.5064%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Keisuke Saitoh or Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

Jay Dylan Hara Friend is favourite at 1.21, which is a 80% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Keisuke Saitoh vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

Keisuke Saitoh is 4.87 and Jay Dylan Hara Friend is 1.21, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.

What is the head-to-head between Keisuke Saitoh and Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

They have met 1 time and Jay Dylan Hara Friend leads 1-0.

Who will win Keisuke Saitoh vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

Our model makes it Jay Dylan Hara Friend to win at 1.21 (Lean confidence).

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