Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo v Pablo Varillas Juan
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONJ. Aguilar Cardozo is 10-0 over the last ten and 36-9 on clay this season. J. P. Varillas is 9-1 over the last ten and 25-17 on clay this season. J. Aguilar Cardozo has played 5 matches in seven days. J. P. Varillas has played 4 matches in seven days.
The pick is J. Aguilar Cardozo to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.75 or bigger. At 1.68 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | J. P. Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 190 |
| 10-0 | Last 10 | 9-1 |
| WWWWW | Last 5 | WWWWW |
| +1.6 | V the odds | +3.1 |
| 39-11 | Season | 33-21 |
| 36-9 | Clay 2026 | 25-17 |
| 5 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 4 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Recent form
Last five completed matches, most recent first.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Buenos Aires 3 | J. Aguilar CardozovJ. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Aguilar Cardozo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | A. Barrena | 0 - 2 | 1.47 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 | 1.68 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | F. Comesana | 1 - 2 | 3.12 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | C. M. Zarate | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | F. Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | M. Del Pino | 2 - 0 | 1.01 | 95% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | M. Molder | 2 - 0 | 1.07 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina) | Clay | C. M. Zarate | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-28 | M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina) | Clay | L. Gagliardo | 2 - 0 | 1.21 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina) | Clay | F. Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 0 | 1.08 | 89% | WON |
J. P. Varillas — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 0 | 2.28 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | M. A. Dellien Velasco | 1 - 2 | 1.18 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | T. Farjat | 1 - 2 | 1.01 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | H. J. Escurra Isnardi | 2 - 0 | 1.05 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | D. Vallejo | 2 - 1 | 3.00 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | Genova | Clay | F. Passaro | 0 - 2 | 2.69 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | F. Arnaboldi | 2 - 1 | 1.37 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | Como | Clay | M. Dodig | 2 - 0 | 2.74 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-09-05 | Como | Clay | J. Clarke | 2 - 1 | 1.81 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | Como | Clay | F. Arnaboldi | 0 - 2 | 1.39 | 69% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo or Pablo Varillas Juan?
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is favourite at 1.68, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Pablo Varillas Juan?
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is 1.68 and Pablo Varillas Juan is 2.28, the prices we recorded for the Buenos Aires 3 match.
What is the head-to-head between Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Pablo Varillas Juan?
They have met 1 time and Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo leads 1-0.
Who will win Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Pablo Varillas Juan?
Our model makes it Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo to win at 1.68 (Lean confidence).