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ChallengerHardWuning 3 (China) - Qualification2026-10-11 07:00

Jay Dylan Hara Friend v Alibek Kachmazov

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
J. D. Hara Friend to win1.66
Price too short today - wait for 1.73 or bigger · our chance 58% · market 58/42, us 58/42

J. D. Hara Friend is 8-2 over the last ten and 27-14 on hard this season. A. Kachmazov is 10-0 over the last ten and 25-7 on hard this season. J. D. Hara Friend has played 4 matches in seven days. A. Kachmazov has played 6 matches in seven days.

The pick is J. D. Hara Friend to win. We make it a 58% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.73 or bigger. At 1.66 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. D. Hara FriendA. Kachmazov
254Ranking-
8-2Last 1010-0
WWWWLLast 5WWWWW
+1.3V the odds+2.0
31-15Season26-9
27-14Hard 202625-7
4Last 7 days6
1dDays rest1d
4Wins here6
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. D. Hara FriendFAV1.6658%
A. Kachmazov2.3142%
Market says58% Friend

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

J. D. Hara FriendLWWWW
A. KachmazovWWWWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. D. Hara Friend0
A. Kachmazov1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-11Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationJ. D. Hara FriendvA. Kachmazov1 - 2

This season & this event

J. D. Hara Friend
A. Kachmazov
31-16
27-15
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
27-9
26-7
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Japan
Alibek Kachmazov
World
254
22
Japan
27–15
0
27–15
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
181
24
World
16–21
0
16–18
0–1
0–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. D. Hara Friend — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardA. Kachmazov1 - 21.6658%LOST
2026-10-10Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardK. Saitoh0 - 21.2180%WON
2026-10-09Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardR. Seggerman2 - 01.5363%WON
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardW. K. Leong M.2 - 01.3571%WON
2026-10-06Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardY. Kikuchi2 - 01.0788%WON
2026-09-13IstanbulClayM. Basing1 - 21.7157%LOST
2026-09-12IstanbulClayM. Kasnikowski0 - 21.9751%WON
2026-09-11IstanbulClayY. Erel1 - 21.7456%WON
2026-09-09IstanbulClayS. Hamza Reguig0 - 21.1086%WON
2026-09-08IstanbulClayM. Ribecai2 - 11.5064%WON

A. Kachmazov — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardJ. D. Hara Friend1 - 22.3158%WON
2026-10-10Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardO. Jasika2 - 01.5164%WON
2026-10-09Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardF. Sun0 - 21.6957%WON
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardE. Zhu0 - 21.5263%WON
2026-10-06Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardC. Broom2 - 11.9551%WON
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardG. Lomakin2 - 01.0689%WON
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardY. L. Chen2 - 0——WON
2026-09-27M25 YinchuanHardK. S. Chen2 - 0——WON
2026-09-26M25 YinchuanHardM. Sasikumar2 - 0——WON
2026-09-25M25 YinchuanHardS. Tang0 - 21.0294%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Jay Dylan Hara Friend or Alibek Kachmazov?

Jay Dylan Hara Friend is favourite at 1.66, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Alibek Kachmazov?

Jay Dylan Hara Friend is 1.66 and Alibek Kachmazov is 2.31, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.

What is the head-to-head between Jay Dylan Hara Friend and Alibek Kachmazov?

They have met 1 time and Alibek Kachmazov leads 1-0.

Who will win Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Alibek Kachmazov?

Our model makes it Jay Dylan Hara Friend to win at 1.66 (Lean confidence).