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ChallengerClayGenova 2 (Italy) - Qualification2026-09-24 10:00

Jay Clarke v Giuseppe La Vela

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
J. Clarke to win1.20
Price too short today - wait for 1.27 or bigger · our chance 79% · market 80/20, us 79/21

J. Clarke is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-14 on clay this season. G. La Vela is 6-4 over the last ten and 25-14 on clay this season.

The pick is J. Clarke to win. We make it a 79% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.27 or bigger. At 1.20 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. ClarkeG. La Vela
232Ranking507
6-4Last 106-4
WLWWWLast 5WLWWL
+1.3V the odds+0.1
23-26Season34-22
16-14Clay 202625-14
3Last 7 days1
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. ClarkeFAV1.2080%
G. La Vela4.8120%
Market says80% Clarke

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Clarke1
G. La Vela0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-24Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationJ. ClarkevG. La Vela2 - 0

This season & this event

J. Clarke
G. La Vela
24-27
17-15
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
34-23
25-15
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Jay Clarke
United Kingdom
Giuseppe La Vela
Italy
232
28
United Kingdom
20–25
0
4–9
13–14
3–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
507
25
Italy
32–21
1
7–5
25–16
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Clarke — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-25Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayC. A. Caniato0 - 1 RET——LOST
2026-09-24Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayG. La Vela2 - 01.2080%WON
2026-09-22Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayJ. Sperle2 - 01.2873%WON
2026-09-19BiellaClayA. Moro Canas2 - 12.2256%LOST
2026-09-18BiellaClayF. Gill2 - 11.9753%WON
2026-09-16BiellaClayP. Brunclik2 - 01.7353%WON
2026-09-14BiellaClayJ. Forejtek2 - 11.6057%WON
2026-09-05ComoClayJ. P. Varillas2 - 12.0853%LOST
2026-09-03ComoClayP. Martinez2 - 12.3060%WON
2026-09-01ComoClayF. Forti0 - 21.8253%WON

G. La Vela — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-24Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayJ. Clarke2 - 04.8180%LOST
2026-09-22Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayG. Oradini2 - 02.4061%WON
2026-09-15BiellaClayC. A. Caniato0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-14BiellaClayF. Iannaccone2 - 12.5063%WON
2026-09-13BiellaClayS. D'Agostino2 - 0——WON
2026-09-07GenovaClayM. Zeitune2 - 11.9350%LOST
2026-09-06GenovaClayA. Vigoriti0 - 21.0197%WON
2026-08-30ComoClayL. Rottoli2 - 01.5262%LOST
2026-08-28M25 MariborClayS. Sorger2 - 04.7780%LOST
2026-08-27M25 MariborClayN. Mikovic1 - 21.1682%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Jay Clarke or Giuseppe La Vela?

Jay Clarke is favourite at 1.20, which is a 80% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Jay Clarke vs Giuseppe La Vela?

Jay Clarke is 1.20 and Giuseppe La Vela is 4.81, the prices we recorded for the Genova 2 (Italy) match.

What is the head-to-head between Jay Clarke and Giuseppe La Vela?

They have met 1 time and Jay Clarke leads 1-0.

Who will win Jay Clarke vs Giuseppe La Vela?

Our model makes it Jay Clarke to win at 1.20 (Lean confidence).

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