Jakub Paul v Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONN. Budkov Kjaer is 5-5 over the last ten and 19-14 on hard this season. J. Paul is 5-5 over the last ten and 3-3 on hard this season. The head to head is J. Paul 0-1.
The pick is N. Budkov Kjaer to win. We make it a 78% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.29 or bigger. At 1.22 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Paul | N. Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 146 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WWLWL | Last 5 | LWLWL |
| +0.5 | V the odds | -1.1 |
| 8-8 | Season | 29-30 |
| 3-3 | Hard 2026 | 19-14 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 1d | Days rest | 12d |
| 2 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Roanne | J. PaulvN. Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Valencia | N. Budkov KjaervJ. Paul | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Paul — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | N. Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 2 | 4.64 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | L. Massard | 0 - 2 | 1.62 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-10-11 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | N. McDonald | 2 - 1 | 1.90 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Prague | Clay | R. Molleker | 0 - 2 | 1.94 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Prague | Clay | S. Gulin | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-06-15 | Parma | Clay | E. Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | 2.53 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-06-14 | Parma | Clay | M. Mecarelli | 0 - 2 | 1.22 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-05-12 | Valencia | Clay | N. Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 | 5.31 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-05-11 | Valencia | Clay | S. Napolitano | 2 - 0 | 3.26 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-03-29 | Marrakech | Clay | D. Lajovic | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
N. Budkov Kjaer — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | J. Paul | 0 - 2 | 1.22 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | F. Balshaw | 2 - 1 | 1.57 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | Y. Ghazouani Durand | 0 - 2 | 1.23 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | B. Harris | 1 - 2 | 1.56 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | J. Cui | 2 - 1 | 1.04 | 92% | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | Cassis | Hard | T. Droguet | 2 - 1 | 2.72 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Cassis | Hard | M. Echargui | 2 - 1 | 1.41 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-10 | Cassis | Hard | Y. Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 0 | 1.21 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Cassis | Hard | F. Balshaw | 2 - 0 | 1.93 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | M. Lajal | 2 - 0 | 2.18 | 56% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Jakub Paul or Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is favourite at 1.22, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Jakub Paul vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Jakub Paul is 4.64 and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 1.22, the prices we recorded for the Roanne match.
What is the head-to-head between Jakub Paul and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
They have met 2 times and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 2-0.
Who will win Jakub Paul vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Our model makes it Nicolai Budkov Kjaer to win at 1.22 (Lean confidence).