THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 02 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 32LIVE 3ALERTS 85
ATPHardTokyo2026-10-01 04:00

Jaime Faria v Arthur Fery

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
A. Fery to win1.99
Worth backing at 1.88 or bigger · our chance 53% · market 51/49, us 47/53

A. Fery is 7-3 over the last ten and 14-7 on hard this season. J. Faria is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-10 on hard this season.

The pick is A. Fery to win. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.88 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. FariaA. Fery
72Ranking36
6-4Last 107-3
LWLWWLast 5WLWWW
+1.1V the odds+2.4
50-25Season30-15
17-10Hard 202614-7
3Last 7 days0
2dDays rest12d
1Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. FariaFAV1.9051%
A. Fery1.9949%
Market says51% Faria

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

A. FeryLWLLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Faria1
A. Fery0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-01TokyoJ. FariavA. Fery2 - 1

This season & this event

J. Faria
A. Fery
51-26
18-11
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
31-17
15-9
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Jaime Faria
Portugal
Arthur Fery
United Kingdom
72
23
Portugal
47–23
0
13–7
29–14
5–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
36
24
United Kingdom
30–16
0
13–7
6–5
11–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Faria — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02TokyoHardJ. Munar2 - 02.5061%LOST
2026-10-01TokyoHardA. Fery2 - 11.9051%WON
2026-09-29TokyoHardD. Vallejo2 - 11.5961%LOST
2026-09-28TokyoHardS. Mochizuki0 - 2——WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardH. Gaston1 - 21.5762%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardT. Atmane2 - 12.2256%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryC. Cruz0 - 2——WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardC. Alcaraz1 - 3——LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardJ. Brooksby3 - 2——WON
2026-08-20CincinnatiHardL. Musetti0 - 2——LOST

A. Fery — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-01TokyoHardJ. Faria2 - 11.9951%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsA. Guillen Meza2 - 0——WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardL. Musetti0 - 3——LOST
2026-08-29Winston-SalemHardI. Buse0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-29Winston-SalemHardJ. Duckworth0 - 1 RET——WON
2026-08-28Winston-SalemHardA. Kovacevic2 - 1——WON
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardM. Rottgering2 - 0——WON
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardC. Hewitt2 - 0——WON
2026-08-17CincinnatiHardA. De Minaur0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardJ. Duckworth2 - 1——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Jaime Faria or Arthur Fery?

Jaime Faria is favourite at 1.90, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery?

Jaime Faria is 1.90 and Arthur Fery is 1.99, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.

What is the head-to-head between Jaime Faria and Arthur Fery?

They have met 1 time and Jaime Faria leads 1-0.

Who will win Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery?

Our model makes it Arthur Fery to win at 1.99 (Solid confidence).