Hubert Hurkacz v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONA. Davidovich Fokina is 8-2 over the last ten and 19-9 on hard this season. H. Hurkacz is 9-1 over the last ten and 18-11 on hard this season. H. Hurkacz has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is H. Hurkacz 2-2.
The pick is A. Davidovich Fokina to win. We make it a 46% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.16 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Hurkacz | A. Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Ranking | 14 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| WWWWL | Last 5 | WWWLW |
| +2.1 | V the odds | +1.6 |
| 30-20 | Season | 26-15 |
| 18-11 | Hard 2026 | 19-9 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 4 | Wins here | 3 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Chengdu | H. HurkaczvA. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 |
| 2024-01-01 | ATP United Cup | H. HurkaczvA. Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 |
| 2022-06-27 | Wimbledon | A. Davidovich FokinavH. Hurkacz | 3 - 2 |
| 2022-05-04 | Madrid | H. HurkaczvA. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 1 |
| 2021-08-17 | Cincinnati | H. HurkaczvA. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Hurkacz — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | 1.60 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Harris | 0 - 2 | 1.53 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | M. Damm | 1 - 2 | 1.40 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | 1.21 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 1 | 3.08 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | D. Dzumhur | 1 - 3 | 1.09 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | Cancun 2 | Hard | S. Baez | 1 - 2 | 1.43 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-23 | Cancun 2 | Hard | M. Echargui | 2 - 0 | 1.12 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Cancun 2 | Hard | R. Safiullin | 0 - 2 | 1.56 | 62% | WON |
A. Davidovich Fokina — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Chengdu | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 2 | 2.22 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | 1.42 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Muller | 0 - 2 | 1.32 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | J. M. Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | 1.67 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-07-16 | Umag | clay | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | 1.73 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-07-15 | Umag | clay | M. Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | 1.38 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-07-05 | Wimbledon | Grass | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3 - 2 | 2.46 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | M. Fucsovics | 3 - 0 | 1.28 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | F. Marozsan | 3 - 0 | 1.51 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-06-29 | Wimbledon | Grass | J. M. Cerundolo | 3 - 0 | 1.22 | 80% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Hubert Hurkacz or Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Hubert Hurkacz is favourite at 1.68, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Hubert Hurkacz is 1.68 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 2.22, the prices we recorded for the Chengdu match.
What is the head-to-head between Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
They have met 5 times and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads 3-2.
Who will win Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Our model makes it Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win at 2.22 (Lean confidence).