THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 05 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 13ALERTS 78
ChallengerClayCuritiba2026-10-04 15:00

Gustavo Heide v Guido Ivan Justo

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
G. Heide to win1.25
Price too short today - wait for 1.29 or bigger · our chance 78% · market 77/23, us 78/22

G. Heide is 8-2 over the last ten and 31-13 on clay this season. G. I. Justo is 6-4 over the last ten and 42-22 on clay this season. G. Heide has played 4 matches in seven days. G. I. Justo has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is G. Heide 1-0.

The pick is G. Heide to win. We make it a 78% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.29 or bigger. At 1.25 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

G. HeideG. I. Justo
123Ranking263
8-2Last 106-4
WWWWWLast 5WWWWL
+1.0V the odds+1.4
38-21Season46-25
31-13Clay 202642-22
4Last 7 days4
1dDays rest1d
4Wins here4
Defending titleFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

G. HeideFAV1.2577%
G. I. Justo4.2923%
Market says77% Heide

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

G. Heide1
G. I. Justo1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-04CuritibaG. HeidevG. I. Justo0 - 2
2026-04-10CampinasG. I. JustovG. Heide0 - 2

This season & this event

G. Heide
G. I. Justo
38-22
31-14
Lost R32 to J. C. Prado Angelo
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
47-25
43-22
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Gustavo Heide
Brazil
Guido Ivan Justo
Argentina
123
24
Brazil
33–21
2
1–5
30–14
1–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
263
28
Argentina
23–12
1
—
23–12
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

G. Heide — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04CuritibaClayG. I. Justo0 - 21.2577%LOST
2026-10-03CuritibaClayP. Boscardin Dias2 - 01.1880%WON
2026-10-02CuritibaClayL. Midon2 - 01.3868%WON
2026-09-30CuritibaClayF. Meligeni Alves2 - 01.3272%WON
2026-09-28CuritibaClayH. Casanova2 - 01.1782%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryS. Wawrinka2 - 1——WON
2026-09-11TullnClayM. Brunold2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-10TullnClayD. Dedura0 - 2——WON
2026-09-08TullnClayS. Cuenin0 - 2——WON
2026-09-05Porto 2ClayF. Mena1 - 2——LOST

G. I. Justo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-04CuritibaClayG. Heide0 - 24.2977%WON
2026-10-03CuritibaClayT. Barrios Vera2 - 12.7266%WON
2026-10-02CuritibaClayG. Villanueva2 - 01.5762%WON
2026-10-01CuritibaClayP. Sakamoto2 - 01.4465%WON
2026-09-28CuritibaClayF. Roncadelli2 - 01.8053%WON
2026-09-23Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Mena2 - 02.2057%LOST
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayG. Villanueva1 - 2——WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardH. Gaston2 - 0——LOST
2026-07-30LiberecClayJ. B. Torres0 - 2——LOST
2026-07-28LiberecClayS. Gueymard Wayenburg2 - 0——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Gustavo Heide or Guido Ivan Justo?

Gustavo Heide is favourite at 1.25, which is a 77% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Gustavo Heide vs Guido Ivan Justo?

Gustavo Heide is 1.25 and Guido Ivan Justo is 4.29, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.

What is the head-to-head between Gustavo Heide and Guido Ivan Justo?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Gustavo Heide vs Guido Ivan Justo?

Our model makes it Gustavo Heide to win at 1.25 (Lean confidence).