THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 07 OCTOBERMATCHES 343EVENTS 34LIVE 3ALERTS 171
ChallengerClayPalermo (Italy) - Qualification2026-10-06 11:30

Gianluca Cadenasso v Filippo Moroni

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
F. Moroni to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.63 or bigger · our chance 62% · market 74/26, us 68/32

F. Moroni is 6-4 over the last ten and 4-5 on clay this season. G. Cadenasso is 3-7 over the last ten and 17-16 on clay this season. G. Cadenasso took a medical timeout on 2026-10-02. G. Cadenasso retired from a match in the last month.

The pick is F. Moroni to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 62% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.63 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

G. CadenassoF. Moroni
194Ranking-
3-7Last 106-4
LWWLLLast 5WWLWL
+0.2V the odds+1.2
17-17Season9-10
17-16Clay 20264-5
3Last 7 days2
4dDays rest1d
0Wins here2
MTOretiredFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

G. CadenassoFAV1.2974%
F. Moroni3.6326%
Market says74% Cadenasso

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

G. Cadenasso1
F. Moroni0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-06Palermo (Italy) - QualificationG. CadenassovF. Moroni2 - 1

This season & this event

G. Cadenasso
F. Moroni
18-18
18-17
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
9-11
4-6
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Gianluca Cadenasso
Italy
Filippo Moroni
Italy
220
22
Italy
17–17
1
—
17–16
0–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
478
25
Italy
39–17
2
33–15
6–2
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

G. Cadenasso — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Giunta0 - 21.5462%LOST
2026-10-06Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Moroni2 - 11.2974%WON
2026-10-02Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayV. Sachko1 - 1 RET2.2958%LOST
2026-09-30Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Angelini2 - 11.1980%WON
2026-09-29Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayB. Sanchez Martinez2 - 01.6059%WON
2026-09-21Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Donald2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-14BiellaClayF. Forti0 - 2——LOST
2026-06-22WimbledonGrassF. Cina0 - 2——LOST
2026-06-01PerugiaClayD. Merida Aguilar0 - 1 RET——LOST
2026-05-20French OpenClayL. Riedi1 - 2——LOST

F. Moroni — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayG. Cadenasso2 - 13.6374%LOST
2026-10-05Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayI. Parisca2 - 11.8350%WON
2026-10-04Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayA. Marti Pujolras1 - 22.6966%WON
2026-09-28Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Andaloro1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-27Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayG. Ferrari1 - 2——WON
2026-09-12M25 PozzuoliHardM. Efstathiou2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-11M25 PozzuoliHardF. Mazzola1 - 2——WON
2026-09-10M25 PozzuoliHardE. Hudd2 - 0——WON
2026-09-08M25 PozzuoliHardP. De Giorgio2 - 1——WON
2026-08-19M15 KrakowClayP. Juszczak0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Gianluca Cadenasso or Filippo Moroni?

Gianluca Cadenasso is favourite at 1.29, which is a 74% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Gianluca Cadenasso vs Filippo Moroni?

Gianluca Cadenasso is 1.29 and Filippo Moroni is 3.63, the prices we recorded for the Palermo (Italy) match.

What is the head-to-head between Gianluca Cadenasso and Filippo Moroni?

They have met 1 time and Gianluca Cadenasso leads 1-0.

Who will win Gianluca Cadenasso vs Filippo Moroni?

Our model makes it Filippo Moroni to win a set (Solid confidence).

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