THE TENNIS TRADER
SUNDAY 11 OCTOBERMATCHES 146EVENTS 45ALERTS 59
ChallengerClayPalermo (Italy) - Qualification2026-10-10 17:30

Francesco Passaro v Yanaki Milev

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
Y. Milev to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 2.00 or bigger · our chance 50% · market 82/18, us 79/21

Y. Milev is 8-2 over the last ten and 28-22 on clay this season. F. Passaro is 7-3 over the last ten and 13-13 on clay this season. Y. Milev has played 5 matches in seven days.

The pick is Y. Milev to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 50% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.00 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

F. PassaroY. Milev
201Ranking866
7-3Last 108-2
WWWLLLast 5WWWWW
+1.9V the odds+3.4
20-17Season28-22
13-13Clay 202628-22
3Last 7 days5
1dDays rest1d
3Wins here5
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

F. PassaroFAV1.1882%
Y. Milev5.3518%
Market says82% Passaro

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

F. Passaro1
Y. Milev0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-10Palermo (Italy) - QualificationF. PassarovY. Milev2 - 0

This season & this event

F. Passaro
Y. Milev
22-17
15-13
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
29-23
28-23
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Francesco Passaro
Italy
Yanaki Milev
Bulgaria
201
25
Italy
17–16
0
6–3
11–13
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
866
22
Bulgaria
21–21
0
—
21–21
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

F. Passaro — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayJ. Forejtek1 - 21.4268%WON
2026-10-10Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayY. Milev2 - 01.1882%WON
2026-10-09Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayE. Dalla Valle0 - 21.5961%WON
2026-10-08Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayC. A. Caniato1 - 2——WON
2026-10-05Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayO. Roca Batalla0 - 21.5759%WON
2026-09-22Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayA. Juan Mano2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-10GenovaClayJ. P. Varillas0 - 21.5164%LOST
2026-09-08GenovaClayL. Sonego1 - 22.4060%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardJ. De Jong3 - 22.2156%LOST
2026-08-27US OpenHardS. Mochizuki0 - 22.0654%WON

Y. Milev — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11Catania (Italy) - Qualification—M. Chazal0 - 21.5462%WON
2026-10-10Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Passaro2 - 05.3582%LOST
2026-10-09Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayC. Sanchez Jover2 - 02.4260%WON
2026-10-08Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayB. Gadamauri0 - 22.6464%WON
2026-10-06Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayI. Gakhov0 - 22.0254%WON
2026-10-05Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayD. Siniakov1 - 22.2357%WON
2026-10-04Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayO. J. Gutierrez1 - 2——WON
2026-09-22Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayT. Compagnucci2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-21Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayL. Wiedenmann0 - 21.5860%WON
2026-09-20Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayK. Kivattsev2 - 11.4764%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Francesco Passaro or Yanaki Milev?

Francesco Passaro is favourite at 1.18, which is a 82% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Francesco Passaro vs Yanaki Milev?

Francesco Passaro is 1.18 and Yanaki Milev is 5.35, the prices we recorded for the Palermo (Italy) match.

What is the head-to-head between Francesco Passaro and Yanaki Milev?

They have met 1 time and Francesco Passaro leads 1-0.

Who will win Francesco Passaro vs Yanaki Milev?

Our model makes it Yanaki Milev to win a set (Lean confidence).

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