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ChallengerClayPalermo (Italy) - Qualification2026-10-05 12:30

Filippo Moroni v Ignacio Parisca

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
F. Moroni to win1.83
Price too short today - wait for 2.05 or bigger · our chance 49% · market 50/50, us 49/51

F. Moroni is 6-4 over the last ten and 3-5 on clay this season. I. Parisca is 6-4 over the last ten and 33-21 on clay this season.

The pick is F. Moroni to win. We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.05 or bigger. At 1.83 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

F. MoroniI. Parisca
-Ranking-
6-4Last 106-4
WLWLWLast 5WLLWW
+0.7V the odds+0.8
8-10Season33-21
3-5Clay 202633-21
2Last 7 days1
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

F. MoroniFAV1.8350%
I. Parisca1.8350%
Market says50% Moroni

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

F. Moroni1
I. Parisca0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05Palermo (Italy) - QualificationF. MoronivI. Parisca2 - 1

This season & this event

F. Moroni
I. Parisca
9-11
4-6
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-22
33-22
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Filippo Moroni
Italy
Ignacio Parisca
Venezuela
478
25
Italy
39–17
2
33–15
6–2
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
858
21
Venezuela
25–28
0
—
23–25
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

F. Moroni — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayG. Cadenasso2 - 13.6374%LOST
2026-10-05Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayI. Parisca2 - 11.8350%WON
2026-10-04Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayA. Marti Pujolras1 - 22.6966%WON
2026-09-28Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Andaloro1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-27Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayG. Ferrari1 - 2——WON
2026-09-12M25 PozzuoliHardM. Efstathiou2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-11M25 PozzuoliHardF. Mazzola1 - 2——WON
2026-09-10M25 PozzuoliHardE. Hudd2 - 0——WON
2026-09-08M25 PozzuoliHardP. De Giorgio2 - 1——WON
2026-08-19M15 KrakowClayP. Juszczak0 - 2——LOST

I. Parisca — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Moroni2 - 11.8350%LOST
2026-10-04Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayG. Ghetu2 - 02.1456%WON
2026-09-27Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Agamenone2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-25M25 Sabadell 2ClayI. Gakhov2 - 02.2058%LOST
2026-09-24M25 Sabadell 2ClayA. Marti Pujolras2 - 12.2959%WON
2026-09-23M25 Sabadell 2ClayC. Maguire2 - 01.0395%WON
2026-09-10M25 GijonClayR. Nijboer2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-09M25 GijonClayA. G. Carbajal0 - 2——WON
2026-09-08M25 GijonClayA. Petrov0 - 2——WON
2026-09-03Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayY. Milev2 - 0——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Filippo Moroni or Ignacio Parisca?

Filippo Moroni is favourite at 1.83, which is a 50% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Filippo Moroni vs Ignacio Parisca?

Filippo Moroni is 1.83 and Ignacio Parisca is 1.83, the prices we recorded for the Palermo (Italy) match.

What is the head-to-head between Filippo Moroni and Ignacio Parisca?

They have met 1 time and Filippo Moroni leads 1-0.

Who will win Filippo Moroni vs Ignacio Parisca?

Our model makes it Filippo Moroni to win at 1.83 (Lean confidence).

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