THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 02 OCTOBERMATCHES 159EVENTS 32LIVE 3ALERTS 85
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Mouilleron-Le-Captif2026-10-01 10:00

Felix Balshaw v Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
F. Balshaw to win2.43
Worth backing at 2.21 or bigger · our chance 45% · market 39/61, us 45/55

F. Balshaw is 7-3 over the last ten and 14-9 on hard this season. N. Budkov Kjaer is 5-5 over the last ten and 18-13 on hard this season. The head to head is F. Balshaw 0-1.

The pick is F. Balshaw to win. We make it a 45% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.21 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

F. BalshawN. Budkov Kjaer
252Ranking146
7-3Last 105-5
WLWWWLast 5WLWLW
+1.1V the odds-0.9
43-17Season28-29
14-9Hard 202618-13
1Last 7 days1
3dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessDefending title
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

F. Balshaw2.4339%
N. Budkov KjaerFAV1.5761%
Market says61% Kjaer

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

F. Balshaw1
N. Budkov Kjaer1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifF. BalshawvN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 1
2026-09-08CassisN. Budkov KjaervF. Balshaw2 - 0

This season & this event

F. Balshaw
N. Budkov Kjaer
Defending title
45-18
16-10
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
29-30
19-14
Champion
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Felix Balshaw
France
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Norway
252
20
France
43–16
4
14–8
29–8
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
146
20
Norway
28–28
0
16–13
9–9
2–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

F. Balshaw — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)H. Bernet2 - 12.0854%LOST
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)N. Budkov Kjaer2 - 12.4361%WON
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)B. Harris1 - 2——WON
2026-09-08CassisHardN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-06MallorcaHardI. Montes-De La Torre1 - 2——WON
2026-09-05MallorcaHardM. Lajal0 - 2——WON
2026-09-04MallorcaHardB. Harris1 - 2——WON
2026-09-03MallorcaHardA. Muller2 - 0——WON
2026-09-01MallorcaHardA. Holmgren0 - 2——WON
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardA. Kovacevic0 - 2——LOST

N. Budkov Kjaer — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)F. Balshaw2 - 11.5761%LOST
2026-09-29Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)Y. Ghazouani Durand0 - 21.2378%WON
2026-09-21St. TropezHardB. Harris1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryJ. Cui2 - 1——WON
2026-09-12CassisHardT. Droguet2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-11CassisHardM. Echargui2 - 1——WON
2026-09-10CassisHardY. Ghazouani Durand2 - 0——WON
2026-09-08CassisHardF. Balshaw2 - 0——WON
2026-09-02MallorcaHardM. Lajal2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardC. O'Connell0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Felix Balshaw or Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is favourite at 1.57, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Felix Balshaw vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

Felix Balshaw is 2.43 and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 1.57, the prices we recorded for the Mouilleron-Le-Captif match.

What is the head-to-head between Felix Balshaw and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Felix Balshaw vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

Our model makes it Felix Balshaw to win at 2.43 (Solid confidence).

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