Federico Arnaboldi v Andrea de Marchi
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONF. Arnaboldi is 5-5 over the last ten. A. de Marchi is 6-4 over the last ten. A. de Marchi retired from a match in the last month.
The pick is F. Arnaboldi to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.59 or bigger. At 1.50 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| F. Arnaboldi | A. de Marchi | |
|---|---|---|
| 521 | Ranking | 1030 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| LWWLW | Last 5 | LWWLW |
| -0.8 | V the odds | +0.1 |
| 34-30 | Season | 31-19 |
| - | Surface | - |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 5d | Days rest | 9d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | retired |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | F. ArnaboldivA. de Marchi | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
F. Arnaboldi — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | K. Ivanovski | 0 - 2 | 1.75 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | A. de Marchi | 2 - 1 | 1.50 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Giunta | 2 - 0 | 2.15 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | S. Gulin | 1 - 0 RET | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Bari (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Iannaccone | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Moeller | 2 - 0 | 2.95 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | Genova 2 (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Broska | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | Biella | Clay | M. Marterer | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Genova | Clay | M. Petkovic | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
A. de Marchi — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Palermo (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | F. Arnaboldi | 2 - 1 | 2.38 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8 | Clay | L. Lokoli | 0 - 0 RET | 3.12 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8 | Clay | G. Crivellaro | 2 - 1 | 1.57 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8 | Clay | S. Cocola | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7 | Clay | A. Chepelev | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-17 | M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7 | Clay | G. Johns | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7 | Clay | M. Serafini | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7 | Clay | K. Kivattsev | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | Como | Clay | N. Gombos | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-28 | M25 Maribor | Clay | S. Pieri | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Federico Arnaboldi or Andrea de Marchi?
Federico Arnaboldi is favourite at 1.50, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Federico Arnaboldi vs Andrea de Marchi?
Federico Arnaboldi is 1.50 and Andrea de Marchi is 2.38, the prices we recorded for the Palermo (Italy) match.
What is the head-to-head between Federico Arnaboldi and Andrea de Marchi?
They have met 1 time and Federico Arnaboldi leads 1-0.
Who will win Federico Arnaboldi vs Andrea de Marchi?
Our model makes it Federico Arnaboldi to win at 1.50 (Lean confidence).