THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 12 OCTOBERMATCHES 194EVENTS 13LIVE 4ALERTS 63
ChallengerClayBraga2026-10-11 13:00

Elmer Moller v Matej Dodig

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
M. Dodig to win1.42
Worth backing at 1.36 or bigger · our chance 74% · market 32/68, us 26/74

M. Dodig is 8-2 over the last ten and 30-11 on clay this season. E. Moller is 5-5 over the last ten and 14-14 on clay this season. E. Moller took a medical timeout on 2026-10-10. E. Moller has played 4 matches in seven days. M. Dodig has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is E. Moller 1-1.

The pick is M. Dodig to win. We make it a 74% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.36 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

E. MollerM. Dodig
175Ranking171
5-5Last 108-2
WWWWLLast 5WWWWL
+0.6V the odds+2.5
23-24Season35-20
14-14Clay 202630-11
4Last 7 days4
1dDays rest1d
4Wins here4
MTOFitnessClear
Head to head
1-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

E. Moller3.0132%
M. DodigFAV1.4268%
Market says68% Dodig

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

E. Moller1
M. Dodig2
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-11BragaE. MollervM. Dodig1 - 2
2026-02-06ATP Davis Cup - World GroupM. DodigvE. Moller0 - 2
2024-04-12SplitE. MollervM. Dodig0 - 2

This season & this event

E. Moller
M. Dodig
23-25
14-15
Lost QF to A. Moro Canas
Champion
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
36-20
31-11
Did not play
Lost R32 to T. A. Tirante

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Elmer Moller
Denmark
Matej Dodig
Croatia
175
23
Denmark
19–23
0
2–6
15–15
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
171
21
Croatia
31–19
1
5–6
25–11
1–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

E. Moller — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11BragaClayM. Dodig1 - 23.0168%LOST
2026-10-10BragaClayV. Gaubas2 - 12.1154%WON
2026-10-09BragaClayT. Pereira2 - 11.4766%WON
2026-10-07BragaClayZ. Piros1 - 22.5362%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayT. Monteiro1 - 22.2559%WON
2026-09-29Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayC. Taberner2 - 01.9250%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryI. Radulov2 - 01.4365%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryG. Dimitrov1 - 24.0176%LOST
2026-09-02MallorcaHardM. Kasnikowski1 - 22.3759%LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardC. Wong2 - 14.7880%LOST

M. Dodig — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11BragaClayE. Moller1 - 21.4268%WON
2026-10-10BragaClayL. Neumayer2 - 01.6857%WON
2026-10-09BragaClayM. Moeller0 - 21.4666%WON
2026-10-08BragaClayM. Damas0 - 21.2676%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayA. Pellegrino2 - 11.6458%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsA. Zverev2 - 016.0894%LOST
2026-09-12GenovaClayT. Seyboth Wild2 - 12.1054%LOST
2026-09-11GenovaClayE. Dalla Valle2 - 11.5264%WON
2026-09-09GenovaClayH. Dellien0 - 0 RET2.2357%WON
2026-09-08GenovaClayF. Agamenone0 - 1 RET1.3472%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Elmer Moller or Matej Dodig?

Matej Dodig is favourite at 1.42, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Elmer Moller vs Matej Dodig?

Elmer Moller is 3.01 and Matej Dodig is 1.42, the prices we recorded for the Braga match.

What is the head-to-head between Elmer Moller and Matej Dodig?

They have met 3 times and Matej Dodig leads 2-1.

Who will win Elmer Moller vs Matej Dodig?

Our model makes it Matej Dodig to win at 1.42 (Solid confidence).