THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 01 OCTOBERMATCHES 213EVENTS 31LIVE 4ALERTS 103
ChallengerHardJingshan2026-09-30 05:00

Elias Ymer v Terence Atmane

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanVOID
T. Atmane to win 2-01.73
Price too short today - wait for 1.95 or bigger · our chance 51% · market 25/75, us 20/80

T. Atmane is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-16 on hard this season. E. Ymer is 4-6 over the last ten and 13-17 on hard this season. E. Ymer retired from a match in the last month.

The pick is T. Atmane to win 2-0. We make it a 51% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.95 or bigger. At 1.73 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

E. YmerT. Atmane
197Ranking99
4-6Last 106-4
LLWWLLast 5WWLLL
-1.1V the odds+0.4
19-22Season19-25
13-17Hard 202616-16
0Last 7 days3
8dDays rest1d
0Wins here2
retiredFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

E. Ymer4.5321%
T. AtmaneFAV1.2379%
Market says79% Atmane

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

E. Ymer
T. Atmane
20-22
14-17
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
19-26
16-17
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Elias Ymer
Sweden
Terence Atmane
France
197
30
Sweden
17–20
0
9–13
2–3
6–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
99
24
France
18–25
0
13–14
4–7
1–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

E. Ymer — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30JingshanHardT. Atmane1 - 1 RET4.5379%WON
2026-09-22ChengduHardA. Galarneau0 - 22.8868%LOST
2026-09-18Guangzhou 2HardM. Sharipov0 - 22.7366%LOST
2026-09-16Guangzhou 2HardL. Castelnuovo2 - 01.4464%WON
2026-09-14Guangzhou 2HardS. Pankin2 - 11.3668%WON
2026-09-08ShanghaiHardP. Kotov1 - 21.9250%LOST
2026-09-01ZhangjiagangHardY. H. Hsu1 - 0 RET2.4260%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardC. Garin0 - 22.2557%LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardF. Roncadelli0 - 21.1781%WON
2026-08-19Kingston (Jamaica)HardD. Glinka2 - 01.9551%LOST

T. Atmane — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30JingshanHardE. Ymer1 - 1 RET1.2379%LOST
2026-09-29JingshanHardE. Aguiard2 - 01.0985%WON
2026-09-28JingshanHardD. Palan2 - 01.0394%WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardJ. Faria2 - 11.7555%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardJ. Munar3 - 21.5164%LOST
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardA. Zverev2 - 05.6983%LOST
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardT. M. Etcheverry2 - 01.5463%WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardM. Fucsovics0 - 0 RET1.4965%WON
2026-08-08MontrealHardJ. Mensik0 - 22.8265%LOST
2026-08-06MontrealHardK. Khachanov0 - 22.2457%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Elias Ymer or Terence Atmane?

Terence Atmane is favourite at 1.23, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Elias Ymer vs Terence Atmane?

Elias Ymer is 4.53 and Terence Atmane is 1.23, the prices we recorded for the Jingshan match.

Who will win Elias Ymer vs Terence Atmane?

Our model makes it Terence Atmane to win 2-0 at 1.73 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event