THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 30 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 351EVENTS 32LIVE 2ALERTS 173
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Columbus · 1/16-finals2026-09-29 20:30

Duncan Chan v Colton Smith

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
D. Chan to win2.95
Worth backing at 2.59 or bigger · our chance 39% · market 32/68, us 39/61

D. Chan is 6-4 over the last ten and 10-8 on hard this season. C. Smith is 3-7 over the last ten and 18-15 on hard this season.

The pick is D. Chan to win. We make it a 39% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.59 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. ChanC. Smith
-Ranking145
6-4Last 103-7
WWLLWLast 5LWWLW
+1.5V the odds-2.6
10-8Season24-22
10-8Hard 202618-15
2Last 7 days1
1dDays rest6d
2Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. Chan3.0031%
C. SmithFAV1.3769%
Market says69% Smith

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

D. ChanLWWLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Chan0
C. Smith1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-29ColumbusD. ChanvC. Smith0 - 2

This season & this event

D. Chan
C. Smith
10-9
10-9
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
25-22
19-15
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Duncan Chan
Canada
Colton Smith
USA
650
21
Canada
9–8
0
9–8
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
145
23
USA
0–1
0
0–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Chan — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29ColumbusHard (Indoor)C. Smith0 - 23.0069%LOST
2026-09-28ColumbusHard (Indoor)K. Hance2 - 01.6257%WON
2026-09-27ColumbusHard (Indoor)D. Petak2 - 11.1680%WON
2026-08-19Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardT. Daniel0 - 22.6564%LOST
2026-08-04MontrealHardT. A. Tirante1 - 23.6173%LOST
2026-08-01MontrealHardH. Gaston1 - 23.6373%WON
2026-07-29VancouverHardD. Sweeny2 - 02.5061%LOST
2026-07-23WinnipegHardS. Mochizuki2 - 13.4172%LOST
2026-07-21WinnipegHardJ. McCabe1 - 22.4961%WON
2026-07-20WinnipegHardC. Bouchelaghem2 - 11.6159%WON

C. Smith — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29ColumbusHard (Indoor)D. Chan0 - 21.3769%WON
2026-09-23San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardT. Legout2 - 01.6857%LOST
2026-09-21San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardS. Kozlov0 - 21.2971%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardJ. Kym1 - 22.9167%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardH. Gaston2 - 12.1656%LOST
2026-08-25US OpenHardA. Pellegrino2 - 11.4367%WON
2026-08-13Brownsburg (Usa) - QualificationHardF. Gill1 - 21.5363%LOST
2026-08-04LexingtonHardJ. D. Hara Friend2 - 11.6957%LOST
2026-07-26Los CabosHardR. Pascual Ferra2 - 11.3671%LOST
2026-07-21Bloomfield HillsHardJ.J. Wolf0 - 21.5463%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Duncan Chan or Colton Smith?

Colton Smith is favourite at 1.37, which is a 69% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Duncan Chan vs Colton Smith?

Duncan Chan is 3.00 and Colton Smith is 1.37, the prices we recorded for the Columbus match.

What is the head-to-head between Duncan Chan and Colton Smith?

They have met 1 time and Colton Smith leads 1-0.

Who will win Duncan Chan vs Colton Smith?

Our model makes it Duncan Chan to win at 2.95 (Solid confidence).

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