THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 01 OCTOBERMATCHES 213EVENTS 31LIVE 4ALERTS 103
ChallengerHard (Indoor)Columbus2026-09-30 16:00

Braden Shick v Mees Rottgering

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
M. Rottgering to win1.46
Price too short today - wait for 1.49 or bigger · our chance 67% · market 36/64, us 33/67

M. Rottgering is 7-3 over the last ten and 28-10 on hard this season. B. Shick is 6-4 over the last ten and 39-13 on hard this season. The head to head is B. Shick 1-0.

The pick is M. Rottgering to win. We make it a 67% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.49 or bigger. At 1.46 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

B. ShickM. Rottgering
207Ranking335
6-4Last 107-3
WLLWWLast 5WLWLW
+0.4V the odds+2.1
43-16Season31-13
39-13Hard 202628-10
1Last 7 days1
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

B. Shick2.5837%
M. RottgeringFAV1.5363%
Market says63% Rottgering

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

B. Shick1
M. Rottgering1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-30ColumbusB. ShickvM. Rottgering0 - 2
2026-01-16M25 Winston-Salem, NC 2M. RottgeringvB. Shick0 - 2

This season & this event

B. Shick
M. Rottgering
43-17
39-14
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
32-13
29-10
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Braden Shick
USA
Mees Rottgering
Netherlands
207
22
USA
42–17
5
40–14
2–2
0–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
335
19
Netherlands
30–13
2
29–11
—
1–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

B. Shick — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30ColumbusHard (Indoor)M. Rottgering0 - 22.5863%LOST
2026-09-28ColumbusHard (Indoor)O. Baris2 - 11.6855%WON
2026-09-21San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardP. Maloney0 - 21.4068%LOST
2026-09-16TiburonHardJ.J. Wolf1 - 23.6074%LOST
2026-09-15TiburonHardE. Arutiunian2 - 01.4763%WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardC. Tabur2 - 02.2457%WON
2026-07-30VancouverHardA. Andrade2 - 0——WON
2026-07-30VancouverHardM. Lajal2 - 03.7274%LOST
2026-07-29VancouverHardA. Holmgren1 - 22.8866%WON
2026-07-27VancouverHardB. T. George2 - 1——WON

M. Rottgering — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30ColumbusHard (Indoor)B. Shick0 - 21.5363%WON
2026-09-28ColumbusHard (Indoor)E. Winter2 - 01.3072%WON
2026-09-21San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardN. Basavareddy2 - 02.8067%LOST
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardT. Machac2 - 02.9367%WON
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardA. Fery2 - 02.8866%LOST
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardJ. Choinski1 - 22.3158%WON
2026-08-23Winston-SalemHardH. Grenier0 - 21.5164%WON
2026-08-22Winston-SalemHardH. Heck0 - 21.2279%WON
2026-08-14Brownsburg (Usa) - QualificationHardL. Harris2 - 02.8767%LOST
2026-08-12Brownsburg (Usa) - QualificationHardH. Searle0 - 22.7565%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Braden Shick or Mees Rottgering?

Mees Rottgering is favourite at 1.53, which is a 63% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Braden Shick vs Mees Rottgering?

Braden Shick is 2.58 and Mees Rottgering is 1.53, the prices we recorded for the Columbus match.

What is the head-to-head between Braden Shick and Mees Rottgering?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Braden Shick vs Mees Rottgering?

Our model makes it Mees Rottgering to win at 1.46 (Lean confidence).

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