Andrea Guerrieri v Jesper De Jong
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTA. Guerrieri is 7-3 over the last ten and 20-8 on hard this season. J. De Jong is 5-5 over the last ten and 4-9 on hard this season.
The pick is A. Guerrieri to win. We make it a 40% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.50 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Guerrieri | J. De Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| 248 | Ranking | 100 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WLWWW | Last 5 | WWWLL |
| +2.3 | V the odds | -0.1 |
| 51-20 | Season | 27-24 |
| 20-8 | Hard 2026 | 4-9 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 3d | Days rest | 3d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | St. Tropez | A. GuerrierivJ. De Jong | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Guerrieri — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | St. Tropez | Hard | J. De Jong | 1 - 2 | 2.92 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | F. Maestrelli | 2 - 1 | 1.68 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | A. De Minaur | 0 - 3 | 16.14 | 94% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | A. Dougaz | 0 - 2 | 1.88 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | J. J. Schwaerzler | 2 - 1 | 2.23 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | A. Holmgren | 2 - 1 | 2.06 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | S. Kwon | 2 - 0 | 3.82 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | A. Donski | 1 - 2 | 1.36 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-09 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Hard | J. J. Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | 2.00 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-08 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Hard | D. Glinka | 2 - 1 | 1.64 | 59% | WON |
J. De Jong — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | St. Tropez | Hard | H. Mayot | 2 - 1 | 1.89 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | St. Tropez | Hard | A. Guerrieri | 1 - 2 | 1.45 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | R. Bertola | 0 - 2 | 1.35 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | S. Heredia | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | F. Passaro | 3 - 2 | 1.74 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | Winston-Salem | Hard | A. Walton | 2 - 0 | 2.53 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | H. Gaston | 0 - 2 | 1.59 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | N. Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 0 | 1.93 | 50% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | D. Sweeny | 2 - 0 | 1.51 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Michelsen | 2 - 0 | 5.09 | 81% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Andrea Guerrieri or Jesper De Jong?
Jesper De Jong is favourite at 1.45, which is a 67% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper De Jong?
Andrea Guerrieri is 2.92 and Jesper De Jong is 1.45, the prices we recorded for the St. Tropez match.
What is the head-to-head between Andrea Guerrieri and Jesper De Jong?
They have met 1 time and Jesper De Jong leads 1-0.
Who will win Andrea Guerrieri vs Jesper De Jong?
Our model makes it Andrea Guerrieri to win at 2.92 (Solid confidence).